A Kalshi 15-minute Bitcoin bot, every trade public
A bot on Kalshi's 15-minute Bitcoin markets that anyone can check: it trades the top 3 signals on the SettleMath leaderboard, and every trade since it started is public, the losses with the wins.
What it does
Watches the top 3 signals on the SettleMath leaderboard that have earned it: 30+ fires on markets after they were found and ahead by at least one standard error on them, kept up to date after every update. In each market, whichever of them fires first at 85¢ or less is the trade, and nothing else trades in that market. $80 to $150 a trade: more as that signal's record gets stronger.
How it has done
| Since | Nov 2 2026 |
|---|---|
| Trades | 131 (78 won, 53 lost) |
| Simulated profit, fees included | $1,043.10 |
| Return on money put in | +8.3% |
Every trade is also priced against the order book recorded a second after the signal fired, filling only what was actually there: 123 of 131 filled, for $992.29 simulated.
The whole list of trades, the running total and the rules are on the bot page, updated after every market.
Why it is public
Most bot and signal sellers show their wins. A record that keeps the losses, priced at the prices that were really there, is the only kind worth reading. The signals it follows are on the leaderboard, ranked only on markets that came after each one was found.
Simulated results do not represent actual trading. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profit or losses similar to those shown. Information, not advice.
See it live
The Live page shows every window as it happens: the model next to the market's price, the final minute's average as it locks in, and where the settlement is expected to land. The free view runs 60 seconds behind; Pro is live, weekly or monthly, cancel anytime (Pricing). Information, not advice.
More guides
- Are Kalshi's 15-minute Bitcoin markets rigged? What the second-by-second data shows
- How Kalshi's 15-minute Bitcoin market settles
- A Kalshi 15-minute Bitcoin bot, every trade public
- Kalshi 15-minute Bitcoin: what 90¢ with 2 minutes left has meant
- Why Kalshi's 15-minute Bitcoin markets can be too close to call