The top-3 signal bot version 2
Watches the top 3 signals on the SettleMath leaderboard that have earned it: 30+ fires on markets after they were found and ahead by at least one standard error on them, kept up to date after every update. In each market, whichever of them fires first at 85¢ or less is the trade, and nothing else trades in that market. $80 to $150 a trade: more as that signal's record gets stronger. Every trade since it started counts in these numbers, wins and losses; the latest 25 are listed below.
Watching now: No signal has earned a place yet: it takes 30+ fires on markets after it was found and being ahead by at least one standard error on them. The bot waits rather than follow a signal that hasn't shown it yet.
Earlier: Version 1 (Nov 1, 3:16 PM–9:46 PM CT, looser rules): 16 trades, 10 won, 6 lost, −$3.62 simulated. Its rules were replaced by these stricter ones; its trades stay counted here, never dropped.
The chart starts after the second trade.
No trades yet in this version: the first comes the next time one of the top 3 fires at 85¢ or less.
Live-price simulation: real ask prices, fees included. Trading automated signals carries risk. The top 3 are the highest on the leaderboard with at least 30 fires since they were found or added and ahead on them by at least 1 standard error (the vetted bar is 3.5); fires above 85¢ are skipped. Whole contracts (at most 300) at the asking price the signal fired at, assuming the whole order fills at that price; the exchange's taker fee, rounded up to the cent; a win pays $1 a contract. Only each signal's first fire in a market counts, so a signal that joins the top 3 mid-market may not trade until the next one. Only markets after it started count. The leaderboard only counts settled markets, so the top 3 at each second is known before the market it trades settles.
Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not been executed, the results may have under-or-over compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profit or losses similar to those shown.
Information, not advice. Every signal's record · The leaderboard