SettleMath

Kalshi Bitcoin 15-minute market, Nov 4, 4:00 AM CT: settled Down

This market settled Down, a close one: Bitcoin’s 60-second average at the close was $23.32 below the strike.

Window3:45 AM to 4:00 AM CT, Wednesday, November 4, 2026
Strike (the price it had to beat)$78,314.82
Settlement value (the official index’s 60-second average at the close)$78,291.50
ResultDown: below the strike by $23.32
Contracts traded2,221,038

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Up wins when the official index’s average over the final 60 seconds is at or above the strike. How the settlement works.