SettleMath

Kalshi Bitcoin 15-minute market, Nov 4, 2:30 AM CT: settled Down

This market settled Down, not close: Bitcoin’s 60-second average at the close was $40.53 below the strike.

Window2:15 AM to 2:30 AM CT, Wednesday, November 4, 2026
Strike (the price it had to beat)$78,299.94
Settlement value (the official index’s 60-second average at the close)$78,259.41
ResultDown: below the strike by $40.53
Contracts traded2,902,348

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Up wins when the official index’s average over the final 60 seconds is at or above the strike. How the settlement works.