Biggest Kalshi 15-minute Bitcoin flips today
Every 15-minute Bitcoin market today where the side at 75¢ or more with three minutes or less left went on to lose, biggest first, and every one that settled within $10 of the strike. Why it happens: these markets settle on the average of the last 60 seconds, not the last price.
Today, Nov 5
4 late flips: the side that looked safe lost.
| Market (CT) | What it looked like | Settled | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1:00 PM–1:15 PM | Down was 96¢ with 3:00 left | Up won by $64.50 | See the chart → |
| 12:15 PM–12:30 PM | Down was 91¢ with 1:00 left | Up won by $9.52 | See the chart → |
| 12:30 PM–12:45 PM | Down was 82¢ with 3:00 left | Up won by $25.68 | See the chart → |
| 7:00 AM–7:15 AM | Down was 78¢ with 2:00 left | Up won by $7.85 | See the chart → |
Yesterday
8 late flips: the side that looked safe lost.
| Market (CT) | What it looked like | Settled | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10:15 AM–10:30 AM | Down was 94¢ with 1:00 left | Up won by $1.05 | |
| 5:15 PM–5:30 PM | Up was 92¢ with 1:00 left | Down won by $1.98 | See the chart → |
| 8:15 AM–8:30 AM | Up was 91¢ with 3:00 left | Down won by $23.08 | |
| 9:00 PM–9:15 PM | Down was 90¢ with 2:00 left | Up won by $28.08 | See the chart → |
| 6:45 AM–7:00 AM | Down was 88¢ with 3:00 left | Up won by $24.42 | |
| 1:15 PM–1:30 PM | Down was 88¢ with 3:00 left | Up won by $1.98 | |
| 6:30 PM–6:45 PM | Down was 88¢ with 3:00 left | Up won by $48.66 | See the chart → |
| 11:30 PM–11:45 PM | Down was 78¢ with 1:00 left | Up won by $0.47 | See the chart → |
Photo finishes (6)
| Market (CT) | What it looked like | Settled | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5:30 AM–5:45 AM | Photo finish | Down won by $1.75 | |
| 6:15 PM–6:30 PM | Photo finish | Down won by $1.89 | See the chart → |
| 12:45 PM–1:00 PM | Photo finish | Down won by $3.38 | |
| 7:45 PM–8:00 PM | Photo finish | Up won by $5.04 | See the chart → |
| 7:00 PM–7:15 PM | Photo finish | Down won by $5.48 | See the chart → |
| 11:15 PM–11:30 PM | Photo finish | Down won by $8.20 | See the chart → |
Watch the final minute lock in live: the Live page (free, 60 seconds behind). Is it rigged?
From the market's own quotes at 3:00, 2:00 and 1:00 left and its official settlement. Information, not advice. Not affiliated with Kalshi.